Probability, Statistics and Queueing

When a die is rolled 3 times, which of the following is closest to the probability that a 6 comes up at least once?

  1. A0.42
  2. B0.50
  3. C0.58
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Answer: A. 0.42

The probability of "at least once" is easily found by subtracting from 1 the probability of its complement, "not even once". The probability of not rolling a 6 in one roll is 5/6, and the 3 rolls are independent, so the probability of no 6 at all is (5/6)³ = 125/216 ≈ 0.58. The required probability is therefore 1 − 125/216 = 91/216 ≈ 0.42.

  • A. Correct. 1 − (5/6)³ = 91/216 ≈ 0.42.
  • B. This adds 1/6 three times. It counts the cases with two or more 6s more than once, so the probabilities cannot simply be added like this.
  • C. (5/6)³ ≈ 0.58 is the probability that no 6 comes up at all.
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